The eventual path and strength of newly named Tropical Storm Sara remain uncertain Thursday, with forecasters closely monitoring each computer model run as the system spins in the Caribbean Sea near storm-vulnerable Central America,

The National Hurricane Center began advisories Wednesday on a system it forecasts to become the season’s next tropical depression or storm. Long-range forecast models predict it will intensify into a hurricane and threaten Florida by the middle of next week.

Tampa Bay forecasters say it’s too early to tell where the storm will go, but urged residents to keep an eye on forecasts.