The National Hurricane Center began advisories Wednesday on a system it forecasts to become the season’s next tropical depression or storm. Long-range forecast models predict it will intensify into a hurricane and threaten Florida by the middle of next week.

The National Hurricane Center is continues to monitor a system in the Atlantic with low odds of developing into the seasons next tropical depression or storm and weakening Tropical Storm Rafael.

Some of the models suggest that Rafael may even do a small loop out in the Gulf. Meanwhile, a trough of low pressure near Puerto Rico is bringing heavy rain and thunderstorms to the area but has a low chance of development over the next week.

The broad area of low pressure in the Caribbean we've been eyeing for tropical development continues to have a high chance at tropical formation as disorganized

A disturbance in the Caribbean will likely become the latest tropical depression or storm of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season. Where is it now and where is it headed? The National Hurricane Center said Wednesday that a broad area of low pressure in the central Caribbean Sea continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms.

Hurricane season is drawing to a close, but the tropics refuse to settle down. Tampa Bay forecasters are again watching a potential tropical system that could threaten an area still reeling from previous storms.

The National Hurricane Season said it expects a new tropical depression or storm to form in the coming days, adding to what has already been an active hurricane season.

A tropical wave in the Caribbean has an 80% chance of becoming a tropical depression. Meanwhile, Polk County will enjoy falling temperatures.